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陈玉营

  陈玉营研究员

  1993年中国矿业大学研究生毕业;2010年起为自然科学基金计算机应用科学和管理学项目组评审专家;2005年被中华人民共和国人力资源和社会保障部聘为特聘社会保障问题专家;2006年被聘为中国科学家论坛会员;目前为全国计算机模拟学会理事;北京科技大学经管学院外聘博导;现任国家统计局统计科学研究所国民经济统计研究员。

  主要理论方法:主要理论方法是系统论、系统动力学方法;计量经济学方法、统计学方法;经济学位元理论方法;

  主要技术分析手段:主要技术分析手段是WensimMiero DYNAMOSPSSC语言、R软件,以及数据库开发与应用。

  主要著作有:《中国经济热点问题分析与判断》、《大社保破题—中国全社会保障问题溯源与执策》、《中国城市创新报告》(2013);

  主要课题与论文有:《经济学位元理论及其统计应用研究》、《中国东中西部地区投资与结构变化的模拟研究》、《国房指数计算方案及编程研究》、《我国社会保障制度的最优取向(上、下)》、《2010年经济发展分析与2011年展望》、《宏观经济分析利器——宏观经济预警监测系统》、《研判我国高额外汇储备面临的新问题》、《2009年中国经济形势预测》、《制约中国社会保障制度发展的瓶颈问题》、《社会保障的意义与各国社会保障制度的比较》、《和谐社会统计监测指标体系研究》、《我国建设全社会保障问题的初步探讨》、《东中西部投资发展模拟研究》、《在调控中注重发挥地区比较优势》、《卫星遥感农业估产》、《西部数据库》、《宏观经济预警系统概述》等。

  根据多年研究与积累,于2012年—2013年创建了《经济学位元理论》;经济学位元理论是描述、分析与研究经济学领域中,经济事件的经济位势能量与经济流的动态能量、经济位能的场强与经济流的方向的学问,它对经济事件集成了泛函分析、场论分析、系统动力学分析、以及常规的计量统计分析方法,是计量经济学的拓展与延伸,也是系统动力学在经济领域应用的拓展与延伸,是经济学领域出现的一个创新方法。该理论得到了中社会科学院李京文院士、李杨副院长、国家经济信息研究院乌家培院长的肯定和支持,该方法对于近代经济领域中出现的经济聚变与裂变现象地分析尤为得力,比如房地产业分析,金融经济分析等。

  Researcher Chen Yuying

  Post-graduated from China University of Mining & Technology in 1990. Become an evaluation expert of Applied Computer Science and Management project group in National Natural Science Foundation of China since 2010. Appointed by Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security of the Peoples Republic of China as a social security problem expert. Become a member of Chinese Scientists Forum in 2006. Currently work as one of the directors of China Computer Federation an external Ph.D supervisor of School of Economics and Management University of Science and Technology Beijing and a national economic statistics researcher in Institute of Statistical Scientific Research of National Bureau of Statistics.

  Main theoretical methods: the System theory System Dynamics method Econometrics Statistical method and Economic potential flow theory.

  Main Technical means: Wensim Miero DYNAMO SPSS C R Development and Applications of Database.

  Main Works: Analysis and Judgement on Chinas Hot Economic Topics Summary of Social Securitythe origins and feasible schemes of China comprehensive social security problem Annual Report of Chinas city Innovation(2013).

  Main Projects and Papers: The theory and statistical application of Economic potential flow Simulation Research on the Investment and structural changes of Chinese regions The Calculation and Programing of National Real estate Development Index The optimal Orientation of China social security system(Volume I and Volume II) Analysis of Economic development in 2010 and prospect for 2011 Macroeconomic analysis toolMacroeconomic Warning and Monitoring System The new problems faced by Chinas huge foreign exchange reserves Chinese Economic situation Forecast in 2009 The bottleneck problems of China social security system development The meaning of social security and the social security system comparison of different countries Study on statistical monitoring index system of Harmonious Society A preliminary discussion on the problems of China comprehensive social security construction Simulation Research on regions investment development Play a regional comparative advantage in the regulation Satellite remote sensing of agricultural yield estimation Western Database Overview of Macroeconomic Warning System.

  Based on accumulation of years researches proposed Economic potential flow theory from 2012 to 2013. This theory is a knowledge to describe and analyze the economic events economic potential energy and the dynamic energy of economic flows the field strength of economic potential energy and the direction of economic flows. The theory integrates functional analysis field analysis system dynamics conventional statistical and econometrics analysis method for economic events which is the extension of econometrics and the extension of system dynamics application in economic field. Its an innovative method in economic field. This theory gets recognitions and supports from Academician Li JingwenVice president Li Yang of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and President Wu Jiapei of National Economic Information Research Institute. The theory is particularly effective when analyzing the economic fusion and fission phenomenon of modern economy such as analysis of the real estate industry and financial economic analysis.



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